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New model shows Texas has enough ICU beds, ventilators to handle coronavirus peak

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A new coronavirus model shows Texas will need fewer intensive care unit beds for coronavirus patients than a previous forecast and also shows the state has enough ventilators on hand to meet the predicted peak of patients this month.

The University of Washington's Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) researchers released the new model that shows the state is equipped with enough ICU beds and ventilators, and it also suggests a lower number of coronavirus deaths than previously forecast, according to an article on TexasGOPVote.

The new IHME model shows that 732 ICU beds will be needed in the state when it reaches its peak on or around April 26. Texas has 2,259 ICU beds available. The state also has 28,633 other hospital beds available, while the new model predicts 3,881 will be needed. In addition, 613 ventilators are projected to be needed and the state has an adequate supply.

As of April 10, Texas reported 11,671 confirmed cases of the coronavirus, including 226 deaths. Harris County leads the state with 3,047 confirmed cases of COVID-19.

Dr. Christopher Murray, head of the IHME, said in a news release on April 5 that with more precise data collected, its forecasts are becoming more accurate.

“As we obtain more data and more precise data, the forecasts we at IHME created have become more accurate,” Murray said. “And these projections are vital to health planners, policymakers, and anyone else associated with caring for those affected by and infected with the coronavirus.”

The IHME said its originally coronavirus estimates have been "substantially revised" because of more data collected.

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